NASDAQ · STOCK
Federal Realty Investment Trust
$124.02
52W $89.99 – $128.21
53/100
$10.72B
24.8
0.93
Is FRT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.91 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.09 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 18 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.53) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.6% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 62.4% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.53 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.53) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 59%
of 61 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 15.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 1.53 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 62.4% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.53) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.4 to 53.1.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 69->61 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.134
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$121.13
Resistance
$124.77
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$124.94
Below
EMA 21
$124.23
Below
EMA 50
$121.79
Above
EMA 200
$111.81
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
78
Growth
59
Profitability
1
Financial Health
27
Cash Flow
38
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.8×
P/B Ratio
3.18×
PEG Ratio
0.91
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$128.21
52W Low
$89.99
Quality & Growth
ROE
12.7%
ROA
4.5%
Gross Margin
54.0%
Operating Margin
36.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.42
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.2x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of -0.08 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.42; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (7.67); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 161.5%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+16.0% -> +3.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 5.6%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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