NASDAQ · STOCK
Gaming and Leisure Properties
$44.81
52W $41.17 – $49.95
55/100
—
13.0
0.69
Is GLPI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.22 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.78 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 11 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.57) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 19.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 7.3% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.57 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.57) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.61 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 26%
of 61 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 1.57 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.57) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.2 to 54.8.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bearish->bullish; score 38->62 (+25); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.213
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$43.65
Resistance
$48.58
Bollinger %B
0.60
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$45.06
Below
EMA 21
$44.90
Below
EMA 50
$45.37
Below
EMA 200
$46.05
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
84
Profitability
1
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.0×
P/B Ratio
2.52×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
0.07%
52W High
$49.95
52W Low
$41.17
Quality & Growth
ROE
17.8%
ROA
6.4%
Gross Margin
31.4%
Operating Margin
85.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.6%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 0.63 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.68); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 25.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-12.8% -> +25.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 90.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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