NASDAQ · STOCK
Shopify Inc.
$122.50
52W $94.00 – $182.19
59/100
$157.95B
120.7
2.61
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 43% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Value Analyst: P/E of 119.4 is expensive by classic value standards. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 14.3% downside vs 5.6% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 12, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 119.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 31.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -17.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 55 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.009
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$104.93
Resistance
$129.36
Bollinger %B
0.85
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$119.63
Above
EMA 21
$116.39
Above
EMA 50
$115.30
Above
EMA 200
$124.15
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
50
Profitability
67
Financial Health
100
Valuation
P/E Ratio
120.7×
P/B Ratio
15.55×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$182.19
52W Low
$94.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
1053.0%
ROA
904.0%
Gross Margin
4797.0%
Operating Margin
1332.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+3185.0%
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 120.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.6x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 31.9%; EPS growth (YoY) of -17.4%; Return on equity of 10.5%; Return on assets of 9.0%; Net margin of 10.8%; Gross margin of 48.0%; Current ratio of 5.96 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Key Risks
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 14.3% downside vs 5.6% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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