NASDAQ · STOCK
Simpson Manufacturing
$186.91
52W $156.32 – $213.49
59/100
—
21.6
1.30
Explore SSD Further
Is SSD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Simpson Manufacturing (SSD) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 22, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.446) — bearish momentum.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.1% downside vs 1.0% upside.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 17.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.18) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3381.71)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.8 to 58.8.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-21 to 2026-07-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
34.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.446
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$175.77
Resistance
$187.02
Bollinger %B
0.21
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$189.14
Below
EMA 21
$191.96
Below
EMA 50
$191.19
Below
EMA 200
$183.28
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
64
Growth
75
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.6×
P/B Ratio
3.71×
PEG Ratio
1.96
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$213.49
52W Low
$156.32
Quality & Growth
ROE
17.0%
ROA
11.2%
Gross Margin
45.5%
Operating Margin
19.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.23
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; PEG ratio of 2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 3.40 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.23; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.64); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 12.8%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-47.7% -> +57.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.446) — bearish momentum.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.1% downside vs 1.0% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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