NASDAQ · STOCK
Talen Energy
$365.98
52W $300.00 – $451.28
50/100
—
-783.3
1.62
Explore TLN Further
Is TLN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Talen Energy (TLN) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 21, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 15.7x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-2.999) — bearish momentum.
- Fundamental score is weak (32.5/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 21, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 15.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 66.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 6.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.4 to 50.4.
Comparing 2026-07-20 to 2026-07-21 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.999
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$343.58
Resistance
$393.05
Bollinger %B
0.17
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$378.22
Below
EMA 21
$381.93
Below
EMA 50
$377.29
Below
EMA 200
$357.21
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
74
Profitability
0
Financial Health
19
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-783.3×
P/B Ratio
15.32×
PEG Ratio
4.11
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$451.28
52W Low
$300.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
-20.0%
ROA
-2.0%
Gross Margin
40.1%
Operating Margin
9.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
6.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -783.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.3x; PEG ratio of 4.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.2%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of -0.0%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.25 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 6.34; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (18.31); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 72.0%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-278.8% -> +117.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-2.999) — bearish momentum.
- Fundamental score is weak (32.5/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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