NASDAQ · STOCK
TXNM Energy
$58.08
52W $55.64 – $59.53
51/100
—
41.9
0.17
Explore TXNM Further
Is TXNM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates TXNM Energy (TXNM) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 21, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 43.3 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Stochastic RSI (94.1) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Fundamental score is weak (29.7/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 21, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 2.9% pays you to wait
− P/E of 43.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -38.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.65) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.7 to 50.7.
Comparing 2026-07-20 to 2026-07-21 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
69.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.177
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$56.49
Resistance
$59.33
Bollinger %B
0.98
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$57.25
Above
EMA 21
$57.24
Above
EMA 50
$57.73
Above
EMA 200
$57.64
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
24
Profitability
0
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
8
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.9×
P/B Ratio
1.55×
PEG Ratio
-1.08
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$59.53
52W Low
$55.64
Quality & Growth
ROE
4.5%
ROA
3.5%
Gross Margin
38.5%
Operating Margin
20.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.18
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of -1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 0.55 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.18; Free cash flow margin of -1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-6.12); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 31.4%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-63.9% -> -56.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Stochastic RSI (94.1) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Fundamental score is weak (29.7/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
Get the Full TXNM Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →
Mobile