NASDAQ · STOCK
UGI Corp
$36.49
52W $31.62 – $41.34
56/100
—
12.3
0.95
Explore UGI Further
Is UGI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates UGI Corp (UGI) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 11.6 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Stochastic RSI (86.2) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 150.0% YoY
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.2 to 56.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
69.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.163
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$36.58
Resistance
$37.41
Bollinger %B
0.86
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$36.25
Above
EMA 21
$35.68
Above
EMA 50
$35.41
Above
EMA 200
$35.55
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
49
Profitability
0
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.3×
P/B Ratio
1.46×
PEG Ratio
0.58
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$41.34
52W Low
$31.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
14.2%
ROA
4.4%
Gross Margin
46.1%
Operating Margin
13.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.25
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.00 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.25; Free cash flow margin of 0.2% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.11); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 12.9%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+665.0% -> +65.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Stochastic RSI (86.2) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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