NASDAQ · STOCK
United Rentals
$1,079.93
52W $701.59 – $1177.67
55/100
$67.18B
26.0
1.79
Is URI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates United Rentals (URI) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.25 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 29.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.59 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 43%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 29.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 25.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 73 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.2 to 55.2.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 32->45 (+12).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.443
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.54
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,080.76
Below
EMA 21
$1,077.49
Above
EMA 50
$1,046.61
Above
EMA 200
$936.12
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
22
Growth
70
Profitability
1
Financial Health
21
Cash Flow
35
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.0×
P/B Ratio
7.42×
PEG Ratio
3.69
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$1177.67
52W Low
$701.59
Quality & Growth
ROE
27.8%
ROA
8.3%
Gross Margin
37.1%
Operating Margin
24.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.67
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.4x; PEG ratio of 3.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 0.76 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.67; Free cash flow margin of 0.1% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.97); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-12.4% -> +31.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 21.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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