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Wingstop

WING Consumer Cyclical Unknown Updated July 20, 2026
$134.91
52W $116.35 – $381.45
51/100
34.9
1.78
Explore WING Further
📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
Conviction: Moderate · 71% agreement · 7 analysts
+5.4%
-2.9%
1.88:1
Moderate
Is WING Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Wingstop (WING) Watch with a composite score of 51/100 , based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement. Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 27.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
  • RSI at or below 30 signals oversold conditions — bullish entry bias.
  • Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram is negative (-3.253) — bearish momentum.
  • Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
  • Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
  • Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Value Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 18.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 34.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst neutral
56 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -32.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst neutral
41 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 27.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst neutral
53 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 51.2 to 51.2.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
26.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-3.253
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$136.94
Resistance
$148.58
Bollinger %B
0.13
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$148.75 Below
EMA 21
$153.81 Below
EMA 50
$158.01 Below
EMA 200
$204.39 Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
73
Growth
94
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio 34.9×
P/B Ratio -4.85×
PEG Ratio -1.07
Dividend Yield 0.01%
52W High $381.45
52W Low $116.35
Quality & Growth
ROE -23.6%
ROA 25.1%
Gross Margin 82.6%
Operating Margin 28.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity -1.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 34.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -4.9x; PEG ratio of -1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.2%; Return on assets of 0.3%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.8%; Current ratio of 2.24 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -1.59; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.80); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 12.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-8.3% -> +18.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
  • MACD histogram is negative (-3.253) — bearish momentum.
  • Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
  • Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
  • Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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