NASDAQ · STOCK
AAPL
$317.34
52W $201.50 – $317.40
59/100
$3818743.81T
38.0
1.10
Price History (6M)
Is AAPL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates AAPL (AAPL) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 13, 2026.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 43% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Risk Analyst: Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 76.7 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (96.9) confirms overbought conditions.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 15.9% downside vs 0.7% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 13, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 146.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 37.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 29.0% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 77 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.4 to 58.8.
Comparing 2026-07-12 to 2026-07-13 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
76.7
Overbought
MACD Histogram
3.716
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$265.07
Resistance
$317.40
Bollinger %B
0.87
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$306.67
Above
EMA 21
$300.02
Above
EMA 50
$297.44
Above
EMA 200
$282.90
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
31
Growth
64
Profitability
3
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
38.0×
P/B Ratio
43.56×
PEG Ratio
1.31
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$317.40
52W Low
$201.50
Quality & Growth
ROE
151.9%
ROA
31.2%
Gross Margin
47.9%
Operating Margin
32.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.80
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 38.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 43.6x; PEG ratio of 1.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.5%; Return on assets of 0.3%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.07 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.80; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.78); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+53.5% -> -29.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 14.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 76.7 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (96.9) confirms overbought conditions.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 15.9% downside vs 0.7% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
Get the Full AAPL Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →
Mobile