NASDAQ · STOCK
Amcor
$44.88
52W $36.25 – $50.94
61/100
$20.75B
31.4
0.61
Is AMCR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Amcor (AMCR) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.60 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is p/e of 30.6 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 5.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 64.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 31.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 13%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 5.8% pays you to wait
− P/E of 30.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 64.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 10 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.3 to 60.6.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.052
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$44.28
Resistance
$47.80
Bollinger %B
0.68
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$44.81
Above
EMA 21
$43.95
Above
EMA 50
$42.54
Above
EMA 200
$42.44
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
77
Growth
58
Profitability
0
Financial Health
53
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.4×
P/B Ratio
1.78×
PEG Ratio
-0.64
Dividend Yield
0.06%
52W High
$50.94
52W Low
$36.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
4.4%
ROA
1.4%
Gross Margin
17.9%
Operating Margin
6.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.43
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.8x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.44 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.43; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (2.63); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 2.0%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-10.9% -> +11.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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