NASDAQ · STOCK
Ball Corporation
$64.89
52W $44.83 – $68.29
62/100
$17.28B
18.6
0.99
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is BALL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Ball Corporation (BALL) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.16 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.84 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is eps growing 106.5% yoy. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 106.5% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 1%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 17.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 106.5% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 63.0 to 61.8.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 83% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
59.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.168
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$63.57
Resistance
$65.35
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$64.45
Above
EMA 21
$63.02
Above
EMA 50
$61.15
Above
EMA 200
$58.38
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
87
Growth
61
Profitability
0
Financial Health
41
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.6×
P/B Ratio
3.08×
PEG Ratio
0.17
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$68.29
52W Low
$44.83
Quality & Growth
ROE
16.8%
ROA
4.7%
Gross Margin
15.7%
Operating Margin
9.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.39
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.1x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.12 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.39; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (2.24); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-10.8% -> +3.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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