NASDAQ · STOCK
Deckers Brands
$106.02
52W $78.91 – $126.50
60/100
$14.48B
13.9
1.19
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.015) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 12, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 5.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.015
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$97.22
Resistance
$113.66
Bollinger %B
0.51
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$104.40
Above
EMA 21
$105.13
Above
EMA 50
$105.43
Above
EMA 200
$106.91
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
68
Growth
58
Profitability
97
Financial Health
100
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.9×
P/B Ratio
5.68×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$126.50
52W Low
$78.91
Quality & Growth
ROE
4079.0%
ROA
2658.0%
Gross Margin
5770.0%
Operating Margin
2308.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+976.0%
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.7x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 9.8%; EPS growth (YoY) of 11.0%; Return on equity of 40.8%; Return on assets of 26.6%; Net margin of 18.7%; Gross margin of 57.7%; Current ratio of 3.54 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+83.0% -> -71.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.015) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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