NASDAQ · STOCK
AutoNation
$212.96
52W $176.62 – $235.81
57/100
$7.11B
9.8
0.74
Is AN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates AutoNation (AN) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.10 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.90 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.17) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.5 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 28.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 4.17 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.17) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.84 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 37%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.5 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 4.17 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.17) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 53.0 to 56.9.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 52->62 (+11); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: score 53->58 (+4).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.548
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$188.66
Resistance
$217.22
Bollinger %B
0.71
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$212.79
Above
EMA 21
$205.80
Above
EMA 50
$199.79
Above
EMA 200
$198.65
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
91
Growth
66
Profitability
0
Financial Health
23
Cash Flow
35
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.8×
P/B Ratio
3.23×
PEG Ratio
0.28
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$235.81
52W Low
$176.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
27.7%
ROA
4.5%
Gross Margin
17.6%
Operating Margin
4.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.57
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.2x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 0.78 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.57; Free cash flow margin of 0.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.35); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-7.7% -> +18.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 1.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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