NASDAQ · STOCK
Aramark
$56.96
52W $35.07 – $58.68
55/100
$14.98B
41.9
1.18
Is ARMK Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Aramark (ARMK) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.30 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.70 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 42.0 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 9 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 42.0 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.72 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.72) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.99 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
37
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 42.0 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.72) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.9 to 54.7.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 57% to 43%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.170
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.46
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$57.13
Below
EMA 21
$56.70
Above
EMA 50
$54.57
Above
EMA 200
$46.66
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
51
Growth
29
Profitability
0
Financial Health
31
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.9×
P/B Ratio
4.57×
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$58.68
52W Low
$35.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
10.4%
ROA
2.5%
Gross Margin
6.4%
Operating Margin
4.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.6x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.21 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.96; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.58); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.6%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-10.5% -> -5.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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