NASDAQ · STOCK
Crown Holdings
$117.84
52W $89.21 – $121.90
58/100
$13.17B
16.9
0.59
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CCK Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Crown Holdings (CCK) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.60 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 45.9% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 26.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 45.9% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.99 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 30%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 26.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 1.99 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 45.9% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 50 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.7 to 57.6.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 63->57 (-6); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.089
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$104.39
Resistance
$130.34
Bollinger %B
0.69
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$117.71
Above
EMA 21
$114.80
Above
EMA 50
$109.73
Above
EMA 200
$103.82
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
82
Growth
91
Profitability
1
Financial Health
18
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.9×
P/B Ratio
4.50×
PEG Ratio
0.37
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$121.90
52W Low
$89.21
Quality & Growth
ROE
24.5%
ROA
5.1%
Gross Margin
17.5%
Operating Margin
13.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.5x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.05 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.19; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (10.79); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+6.9% -> +33.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 15.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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