NASDAQ · STOCK
Celanese Corporation
$44.70
52W $35.13 – $70.70
47/100
$4.90B
-4.5
0.76
Is CE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Celanese Corporation (CE) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +13.27 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -6.73 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -25.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.11 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -5.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -25.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -5.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.11) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.8 to 46.7.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.025
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$37.00
Resistance
$60.66
Bollinger %B
0.24
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$45.16
Below
EMA 21
$46.34
Below
EMA 50
$49.30
Below
EMA 200
$52.72
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
40
Profitability
0
Financial Health
24
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-4.5×
P/B Ratio
1.21×
PEG Ratio
0.05
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$70.70
52W Low
$35.13
Quality & Growth
ROE
-28.8%
ROA
-5.4%
Gross Margin
19.8%
Operating Margin
-7.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.09
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -4.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.3%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of -0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.38 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.09; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.00); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 4.6%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-50.0% -> +26.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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