NASDAQ · STOCK
Carlisle Companies
$359.80
52W $293.43 – $432.91
53/100
$14.56B
20.5
0.85
Is CSL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Carlisle Companies (CSL) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.97 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 23 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.60) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 38.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.60 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -2.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.60) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 38.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 7.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -2.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.60) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 23 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.4 to 53.0.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 7 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 50->56 (+6); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 49->61 (+12); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
3.079
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$349.56
Resistance
$393.21
Bollinger %B
0.84
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$347.31
Above
EMA 21
$345.49
Above
EMA 50
$347.35
Above
EMA 200
$352.11
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
59
Growth
84
Profitability
1
Financial Health
68
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.5×
P/B Ratio
9.01×
PEG Ratio
-6.11
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$432.91
52W Low
$293.43
Quality & Growth
ROE
41.3%
ROA
11.8%
Gross Margin
35.3%
Operating Margin
20.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.78
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.0x; PEG ratio of -6.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 2.60 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.78; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (21.40); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-6.9% -> +93.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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