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Masco Corporation

MAS Basic Materials Unknown Updated August 01, 2026
$71.44
52W $58.16 – $83.64
51/100
$14.09B
16.4
1.28
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
Conviction: Contested · 43% agreement · 7 analysts
+6.5%
-0.5%
13.44:1
Contested

Is MAS Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Masco Corporation (MAS) Watch with a composite score of 51/100 , based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement. Last updated August 01, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.95 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.05 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 14.33) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 279.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
  • Beta of 1.30 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 42 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 73.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 14.33 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • Revenue declining -0.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
  • RSI at 30 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 87%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 279.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 73.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -0.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 30 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst bearish
30 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 14.33) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 42 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score weakened from 59.5 to 51.0.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Growth Analyst: score 82->60 (-22); +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12); +1 bullish signal(s).
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
  • Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 30.
  • Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 48->38 (-10); +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst joined: neutral at 50.

Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
29.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.003
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$71.11
Resistance
$76.06
Bollinger %B
-0.03
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$75.74 Below
EMA 21
$76.70 Below
EMA 50
$75.11 Below
EMA 200
$70.54 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
96
Growth
94
Profitability
1
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio 16.4×
P/B Ratio -38.92×
PEG Ratio 1.14
Dividend Yield 0.02%
52W High $83.64
52W Low $58.16
Quality & Growth
ROE -435.5%
ROA 15.6%
Gross Margin 36.9%
Operating Margin 17.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity -9.57
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -38.9x; PEG ratio of 1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -4.4%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.86 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -9.57; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (7.31); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 23.0%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+26.8% -> +57.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 26.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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Explore MAS Further

📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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