NASDAQ · STOCK
Corteva
$78.71
52W $60.53 – $90.97
55/100
$52.64B
52.1
0.56
Is CTVA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Corteva (CTVA) Buy with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -0.20 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 51.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 4.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 78 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 42%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 51.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 58.7 to 55.2.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->bearish; score 62->38 (-25); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 57->63 (+6); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
24.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.645
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$74.44
Resistance
$85.58
Bollinger %B
-0.27
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$86.56
Below
EMA 21
$85.91
Below
EMA 50
$83.61
Below
EMA 200
$77.28
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
64
Growth
63
Profitability
0
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
52.1×
P/B Ratio
2.10×
PEG Ratio
-1.95
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$90.97
52W Low
$60.53
Quality & Growth
ROE
4.5%
ROA
2.5%
Gross Margin
46.7%
Operating Margin
16.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 52.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of -2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.52 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.19; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.96); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.4%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+581.8% -> +53.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 4.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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