NASDAQ · STOCK
Dow Inc.
$30.30
52W $20.40 – $42.74
58/100
$21.88B
-16.8
0.43
Is DOW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Dow Inc. (DOW) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.61 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.7% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -8.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 33%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -8.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -1.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 32 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.5 to 57.6.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.218
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$26.81
Resistance
$31.16
Bollinger %B
0.66
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$29.97
Above
EMA 21
$30.04
Above
EMA 50
$31.43
Below
EMA 200
$31.91
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
83
Profitability
0
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
35
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-16.8×
P/B Ratio
0.88×
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
0.05%
52W High
$42.74
52W Low
$20.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
-16.4%
ROA
-4.5%
Gross Margin
9.8%
Operating Margin
-0.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -16.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.2%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of -0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 11.07 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.85; Free cash flow margin of 0.1% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.61); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.6%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+58.8% -> +1128.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 442.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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