NASDAQ · STOCK
Dow Inc.
$30.30
52W $20.40 – $42.74
56/100
$21.88B
-16.8
0.43
Is DOW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Dow Inc. (DOW) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.47 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.53 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — news sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 34 articles, 14d) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.7% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -8.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 40%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -8.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -1.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 34 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.6 to 55.5.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 82->60 (-22); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 55.
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.218
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$26.81
Resistance
$31.16
Bollinger %B
0.66
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$29.97
Above
EMA 21
$30.04
Above
EMA 50
$31.43
Below
EMA 200
$31.91
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
83
Profitability
0
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
35
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-16.8×
P/B Ratio
0.88×
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
0.05%
52W High
$42.74
52W Low
$20.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
-16.4%
ROA
-4.5%
Gross Margin
9.8%
Operating Margin
-0.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -16.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.2%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of -0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 11.07 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.85; Free cash flow margin of 0.1% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.61); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.6%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+58.8% -> +1128.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 442.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full DOW Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →