NASDAQ · STOCK
Ecolab
$277.66
52W $243.15 – $309.27
55/100
$78.14B
37.0
0.90
Is ECL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ecolab (ECL) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.14 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.86 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — price structure making higher highs and higher lows — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 21.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 36.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 7.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -0.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 46%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 21.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 36.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -0.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 35 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.3 to 54.9.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 48->41 (-7); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
56.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.718
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$263.79
Resistance
$278.72
Bollinger %B
0.65
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$275.86
Above
EMA 21
$273.82
Above
EMA 50
$270.82
Above
EMA 200
$269.07
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
39
Growth
53
Profitability
1
Financial Health
72
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
37.0×
P/B Ratio
7.77×
PEG Ratio
-69.78
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$309.27
52W Low
$243.15
Quality & Growth
ROE
21.2%
ROA
8.4%
Gross Margin
44.1%
Operating Margin
17.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.37
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 37.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.8x; PEG ratio of -69.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.84 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.37; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (6.65); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.6%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-18.3% -> +22.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 10.6%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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