NASDAQ · STOCK
Eastman Chemical Company
$69.95
52W $56.11 – $83.47
57/100
$8.00B
18.1
1.08
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is EMN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.93 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.07 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.8% pays you to wait — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -7.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -56.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 24%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -7.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.19 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.2 to 57.1.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased modestly from 57% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 40->50 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 68->64 (-5); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bullish at 70).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
61.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.337
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$67.94
Resistance
$70.57
Bollinger %B
0.92
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$68.72
Above
EMA 21
$68.81
Above
EMA 50
$70.00
Below
EMA 200
$71.43
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
67
Profitability
0
Financial Health
79
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.1×
P/B Ratio
1.31×
PEG Ratio
-0.39
Dividend Yield
0.05%
52W High
$83.47
52W Low
$56.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
8.0%
ROA
3.2%
Gross Margin
19.9%
Operating Margin
9.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of -0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.50 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.2%; EPS growth accelerating (+45.3% -> +80.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 23.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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