NASDAQ · STOCK
Ford Motor Company
$14.67
52W $10.68 – $17.78
52/100
$58.54B
-7.9
1.83
Is F Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ford Motor Company (F) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.37 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.63 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.54) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.0% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -18.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.54 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.54) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 79%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -18.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.54) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.1 to 51.6.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.096
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$13.23
Resistance
$14.79
Bollinger %B
0.73
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$14.65
Above
EMA 21
$14.41
Above
EMA 50
$14.15
Above
EMA 200
$13.23
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
66
Profitability
0
Financial Health
12
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-7.9×
P/B Ratio
1.64×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$17.78
52W Low
$10.68
Quality & Growth
ROE
-22.8%
ROA
-2.8%
Gross Margin
10.8%
Operating Margin
2.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.51
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -7.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.2%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of -0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.09 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.51; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.83); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 17.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+407.7% -> -36.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 13.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full F Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →