NASDAQ · STOCK
Fortune Brands Innovations
$49.28
52W $32.34 – $64.84
51/100
$5.88B
21.9
1.37
Is FBIN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.49 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.51 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -2.0% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.31 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -2.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -34.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 85%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
bearish
22
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -2.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.2 to 50.5.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->67 (+9); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.568
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$47.55
Resistance
$55.13
Bollinger %B
0.21
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$50.04
Below
EMA 21
$49.60
Below
EMA 50
$47.05
Above
EMA 200
$47.99
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
86
Growth
14
Profitability
0
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.9×
P/B Ratio
2.52×
PEG Ratio
-0.63
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$64.84
52W Low
$32.34
Quality & Growth
ROE
12.5%
ROA
4.6%
Gross Margin
44.0%
Operating Margin
11.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.26
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 2.13 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.26; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.32); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.2%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (-21.1% -> -38.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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