NASDAQ · STOCK
Freeport-McMoRan
$62.62
52W $35.15 – $72.28
59/100
$90.03B
30.9
1.36
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is FCX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.49 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.51 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 53.1% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Revenue declining -24.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 11%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 15.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 53.1% YoY
− Revenue declining -24.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 55 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.1 to 58.5.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.312
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$55.49
Resistance
$69.75
Bollinger %B
0.69
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$62.09
Above
EMA 21
$62.02
Above
EMA 50
$62.52
Above
EMA 200
$57.87
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
64
Growth
90
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
38
Valuation
P/E Ratio
30.9×
P/B Ratio
4.49×
PEG Ratio
0.57
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$72.28
52W Low
$35.15
Quality & Growth
ROE
11.7%
ROA
3.8%
Gross Margin
26.9%
Operating Margin
26.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.52
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 30.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.5x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 2.07 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.52; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.10); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 24.2%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+21.3% -> +29.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 37.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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