NASDAQ · STOCK
Five Below
$216.93
52W $130.00 – $251.63
57/100
$12.01B
27.2
1.00
Is FIVE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Five Below (FIVE) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.54 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — revenue growing 25.9% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 21.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 25.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 66.0% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 27.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 78 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 24.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 39%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 21.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 27.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 25.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 78 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 24.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.40 across 22 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.8 to 56.5.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 86% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 7 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
78.0
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.677
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$188.47
Resistance
$220.19
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$208.95
Above
EMA 21
$202.26
Above
EMA 50
$201.93
Above
EMA 200
$192.66
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
65
Growth
69
Profitability
0
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.2×
P/B Ratio
5.19×
PEG Ratio
0.41
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$251.63
52W Low
$130.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
16.4%
ROA
6.5%
Gross Margin
34.8%
Operating Margin
11.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.86
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.2 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.2x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 2.10 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.86; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.14); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 23.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+533.8% -> -48.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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