NASDAQ · STOCK
Graham Holdings
$1,150.82
52W $882.21 – $1224.76
62/100
—
17.0
0.72
Explore GHC Further
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is GHC Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Graham Holdings (GHC) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 21, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.413) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 9.9% downside vs 2.3% upside.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 21, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -60.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.19) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.0 to 62.0.
Comparing 2026-07-20 to 2026-07-21 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.413
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$1043.92
Resistance
$1186.17
Bollinger %B
0.42
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,172.99
Below
EMA 21
$1,163.80
Below
EMA 50
$1,146.03
Above
EMA 200
$1,098.03
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
85
Profitability
0
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.0×
P/B Ratio
1.06×
PEG Ratio
-0.33
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$1224.76
52W Low
$882.21
Quality & Growth
ROE
6.1%
ROA
3.5%
Gross Margin
28.5%
Operating Margin
5.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.26
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.1x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.79 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.26; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (65.96); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 26.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-13.2% -> +46.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.413) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 9.9% downside vs 2.3% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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