NASDAQ · STOCK
US Foods
$94.74
52W $69.88 – $105.17
58/100
—
31.6
0.79
Explore USFD Further
Is USFD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates US Foods (USFD) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.082) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Fundamental score is weak (34.5/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Value Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 15.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 31.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 36.4% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.24 across 15 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.1 to 57.9.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.082
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$86.72
Resistance
$102.13
Bollinger %B
0.19
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$98.46
Below
EMA 21
$97.64
Below
EMA 50
$94.16
Above
EMA 200
$86.72
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
61
Growth
28
Profitability
0
Financial Health
47
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.6×
P/B Ratio
4.83×
PEG Ratio
0.84
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$105.17
52W Low
$69.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
15.7%
ROA
4.9%
Gross Margin
17.4%
Operating Margin
3.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.8x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.19; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.85); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.5%; EPS growth decelerating (-2.8% -> -25.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.082) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Fundamental score is weak (34.5/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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