NASDAQ · STOCK
Performance Food Group
$110.24
52W $80.82 – $116.42
47/100
—
51.6
0.91
Explore PFGC Further
Is PFGC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Performance Food Group (PFGC) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 21, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -12.9% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.780) — bearish momentum.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 21, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bearish
37
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 53.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -12.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.56) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.1 to 47.1.
Comparing 2026-07-20 to 2026-07-21 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.780
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.38
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$111.54
Below
EMA 21
$109.79
Above
EMA 50
$104.34
Above
EMA 200
$96.33
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
56
Growth
43
Profitability
0
Financial Health
51
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
51.6×
P/B Ratio
3.61×
PEG Ratio
-4.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$116.42
52W Low
$80.82
Quality & Growth
ROE
7.6%
ROA
1.9%
Gross Margin
11.9%
Operating Margin
1.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.67
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 51.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.6x; PEG ratio of -4.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.52 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.67; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (6.45); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.9%; EPS growth roughly steady (-16.9% -> -18.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.780) — bearish momentum.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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