NASDAQ · STOCK
Invitation Homes
$29.72
52W $24.25 – $31.38
55/100
—
27.2
0.84
Is INVH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Invitation Homes (INVH) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 7 analysts with 86% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.54 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.0% pays you to wait — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.42 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
86%
Analysts
7
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 34%
of 61 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.0% pays you to wait
− P/E of 30.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Current ratio of 0.42 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.2 to 54.5.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 57% to 86%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 64->60 (-4).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.046
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$28.24
Resistance
$31.33
Bollinger %B
0.32
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$29.84
Below
EMA 21
$29.82
Below
EMA 50
$29.40
Above
EMA 200
$28.58
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
78
Growth
85
Profitability
0
Financial Health
39
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.2×
P/B Ratio
1.94×
PEG Ratio
1.21
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$31.38
52W Low
$24.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
6.2%
ROA
3.1%
Gross Margin
47.2%
Operating Margin
39.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.94
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.2 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 0.64 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.94; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.37); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 186.5%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+8.3% -> +96.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 121.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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