NASDAQ · STOCK
JD.com Inc.
$33.02
52W $24.51 – $36.86
53/100
$46.34B
22.2
0.39
Is JD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates JD.com Inc. (JD) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.67 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.33 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 24.4% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.1% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- EPS declining -68.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- RSI at 91 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 24.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 62%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -68.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 91 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 24.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.5 to 53.3.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 71% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
90.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.381
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$32.79
Resistance
$34.30
Bollinger %B
0.95
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$31.42
Above
EMA 21
$30.13
Above
EMA 50
$29.35
Above
EMA 200
$29.87
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
90
Growth
44
Profitability
0
Financial Health
66
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.2×
P/B Ratio
1.39×
PEG Ratio
-0.33
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$36.86
52W Low
$24.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
8.7%
ROA
2.8%
Gross Margin
14.5%
Operating Margin
-0.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.50
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.18 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.50; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (15.24); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 13.2%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-84.5% -> +782.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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