NASDAQ · STOCK
KB Home
$54.95
52W $44.03 – $68.71
57/100
$3.37B
13.1
1.33
Is KBH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates KB Home (KBH) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.15 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 12.5 is inexpensive for the broad market. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -17.5% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.5 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.35 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -17.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -45.5% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 34%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.5 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -17.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.8 to 57.1.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 80% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->bearish; score 85->40 (-45); +2 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: bullish at 77.
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.237
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$54.85
Resistance
$55.36
Bollinger %B
0.19
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$56.40
Below
EMA 21
$56.47
Below
EMA 50
$55.50
Below
EMA 200
$56.53
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
55
Profitability
0
Financial Health
99
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.1×
P/B Ratio
0.90×
PEG Ratio
-0.29
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$68.71
52W Low
$44.03
Quality & Growth
ROE
11.0%
ROA
6.4%
Gross Margin
16.9%
Operating Margin
6.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.53
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.9x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 6.80 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.53; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.83); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.9%; EPS growth accelerating (-70.8% -> -23.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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