NASDAQ · STOCK
Knife River Corporation
$73.16
52W $58.72 – $96.28
47/100
$4.15B
28.4
0.50
Is KNF Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Knife River Corporation (KNF) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.15 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Technical Analyst remains cautious — price structure making lower highs and lower lows. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 28.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -18.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 98%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 28.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -18.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bearish
31
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 45.1 to 47.1.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
25.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.769
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$69.46
Resistance
$82.69
Bollinger %B
-0.02
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$76.72
Below
EMA 21
$78.89
Below
EMA 50
$80.41
Below
EMA 200
$80.77
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
76
Growth
37
Profitability
0
Financial Health
89
Cash Flow
8
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.4×
P/B Ratio
2.66×
PEG Ratio
-1.46
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$96.28
52W Low
$58.72
Quality & Growth
ROE
9.6%
ROA
4.3%
Gross Margin
18.3%
Operating Margin
8.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.95
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.4 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of -1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 2.67 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.95; Free cash flow margin of -0.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.09); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.1%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (-77.8% -> -350.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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