NASDAQ · STOCK
Grand Canyon Education
$138.66
52W $138.34 – $223.04
58/100
—
17.3
0.57
Explore LOPE Further
Is LOPE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or below 30 signals oversold conditions — bullish entry bias.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.737) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 29.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.1 to 58.1.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
29.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.737
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$133.34
Resistance
$144.03
Bollinger %B
0.13
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$144.65
Below
EMA 21
$146.72
Below
EMA 50
$150.93
Below
EMA 200
$163.95
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
44
Growth
49
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.3×
P/B Ratio
5.36×
PEG Ratio
34.69
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$223.04
52W Low
$138.34
Quality & Growth
ROE
28.9%
ROA
21.8%
Gross Margin
53.3%
Operating Margin
27.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.15
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.4x; PEG ratio of 34.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 2.75 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.15; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.9%; EPS growth decelerating (+80.3% -> -10.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.737) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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