NASDAQ · STOCK
Lowe's Companies
$207.92
52W $199.40 – $293.06
53/100
$116.57B
17.6
0.85
Is LOW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lowe's Companies (LOW) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.62 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.38 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 15.16) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 264.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 85.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 15.16 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -1.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 15.16) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 61%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 264.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 85.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -1.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 15.16) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 25 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.6 to 53.4.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 71% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.548
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$206.42
Resistance
$232.01
Bollinger %B
0.37
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$210.38
Below
EMA 21
$211.63
Below
EMA 50
$216.46
Below
EMA 200
$232.94
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
77
Profitability
0
Financial Health
62
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.6×
P/B Ratio
-12.54×
PEG Ratio
-8.17
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$293.06
52W Low
$199.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
-67.1%
ROA
12.3%
Gross Margin
33.8%
Operating Margin
11.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-4.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -12.5x; PEG ratio of -8.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.7%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.09 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -4.59; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (13.63); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-35.3% -> +53.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
Get the Full LOW Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →