NASDAQ · STOCK
Landstar System
$174.57
52W $119.32 – $228.46
52/100
$5.93B
45.3
0.88
Is LSTR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Landstar System (LSTR) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.32 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.68 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 23 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -19.0% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 23 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 45.0 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 6.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -19.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 23 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 82%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 15.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 45.0 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -19.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 23 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 27.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 23 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.9 to 51.7.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 57% to 43%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
22.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-4.491
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$172.87
Resistance
$177.84
Bollinger %B
0.02
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$187.66
Below
EMA 21
$197.34
Below
EMA 50
$198.85
Below
EMA 200
$174.88
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
38
Growth
40
Profitability
0
Financial Health
93
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
45.3×
P/B Ratio
7.09×
PEG Ratio
-2.37
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$228.46
52W Low
$119.32
Quality & Growth
ROE
14.4%
ROA
7.0%
Gross Margin
15.4%
Operating Margin
3.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.17
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 45.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.1x; PEG ratio of -2.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.82 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.17; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.18); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 4.6%; EPS growth decelerating (+65.7% -> +24.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 20.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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