NASDAQ · STOCK
Macy's
$23.79
52W $11.77 – $26.10
57/100
—
9.4
1.49
Explore M Further
Is M Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Macy's (M) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 9.3 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.4% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.107) — bearish momentum.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 9.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -0.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.6 to 56.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.107
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$22.96
Resistance
$23.76
Bollinger %B
0.38
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$23.46
Above
EMA 21
$23.44
Above
EMA 50
$22.61
Above
EMA 200
$20.22
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
69
Profitability
0
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.4×
P/B Ratio
1.27×
PEG Ratio
0.41
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$26.10
52W Low
$11.77
Quality & Growth
ROE
13.2%
ROA
4.0%
Gross Margin
36.5%
Operating Margin
4.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.48 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.06; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.68); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 392.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+1755.6% -> -92.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.107) — bearish momentum.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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