NASDAQ · STOCK
MercadoLibre Inc.
$1,852.49
52W $1495.00 – $2548.50
53/100
$91.64B
47.2
1.34
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Growth Analyst: 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 80.8 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (96.7) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.4% downside vs 2.7% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Growth Analyst
bearish
28
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 81 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
80.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
21.671
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$1751.70
Resistance
$1902.13
Bollinger %B
0.95
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,779.08
Above
EMA 21
$1,724.96
Above
EMA 50
$1,711.09
Above
EMA 200
$1,879.98
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
55
Profitability
60
Financial Health
44
Valuation
P/E Ratio
47.2×
P/B Ratio
15.13×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$2548.50
52W Low
$1495.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
2958.0%
ROA
482.0%
Gross Margin
4386.0%
Operating Margin
959.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+4211.0%
Debt / Equity
1.36
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 47.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.1x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 42.1%; EPS growth (YoY) of -6.8%; Return on equity of 29.6%; Return on assets of 4.8%; Net margin of 6.0%; Gross margin of 43.9%; Current ratio of 1.17 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.36; Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 80.8 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (96.7) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.4% downside vs 2.7% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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