NASDAQ · STOCK
Martin Marietta Materials
$524.98
52W $523.48 – $710.97
56/100
$31.53B
12.9
1.10
Is MLM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.20 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 12.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. Technical Analyst remains cautious — price structure making lower highs and lower lows. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 25.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 141.5% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 24 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -1.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 33%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 141.5% YoY
− Revenue declining -1.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.6 to 56.2.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bearish->bullish; score 39->62 (+23); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 45->39 (-6); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
29.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-2.539
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$505.90
Resistance
$560.06
Bollinger %B
-0.05
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$554.37
Below
EMA 21
$564.50
Below
EMA 50
$575.74
Below
EMA 200
$594.90
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
66
Profitability
1
Financial Health
75
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.9×
P/B Ratio
2.73×
PEG Ratio
0.10
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$710.97
52W Low
$523.48
Quality & Growth
ROE
11.3%
ROA
6.1%
Gross Margin
28.2%
Operating Margin
21.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.52
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.40 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.52; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (13.48); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.3%; EPS growth accelerating (-58.2% -> +159.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -7.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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