NASDAQ · STOCK
NIO Inc.
$4.78
52W $3.46 – $8.02
56/100
$11.76B
—
0.92
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Value Analyst: Price-to-book of 18.1x prices in significant intangible value. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Fundamental score is weak (22.9/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 18.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 48.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.57) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.014
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$4.73
Resistance
$5.36
Bollinger %B
0.16
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$4.88
Below
EMA 21
$5.03
Below
EMA 50
$5.32
Below
EMA 200
$5.44
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
84
Profitability
0
Financial Health
7
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
18.13×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$8.02
52W Low
$3.46
Quality & Growth
ROE
-9946.0%
ROA
-793.0%
Gross Margin
1570.0%
Operating Margin
-785.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+4882.0%
Debt / Equity
4.57
AI Fundamental Assessment
Price-to-book of 18.1x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 48.8%; Return on equity of -99.5%; Return on assets of -7.9%; Net margin of -9.1%; Gross margin of 15.7%; Current ratio of 0.98 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.57; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 105.6%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+125.4% -> -93.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Fundamental score is weak (22.9/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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