NASDAQ · STOCK
Nucor Corporation
$257.42
52W $131.32 – $270.90
56/100
$58.60B
20.5
1.92
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is NUE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Nucor Corporation (NUE) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -0.59 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Technical Analyst sees a compelling case — price structure making higher highs and higher lows. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 20.7% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 79.2% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.91 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 38%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 25.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 79.2% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 48 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.3 to 55.6.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 57% to 43%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 70->66 (-4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
67.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
3.034
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$214.64
Resistance
$268.82
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$250.65
Above
EMA 21
$243.91
Above
EMA 50
$237.05
Above
EMA 200
$200.08
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
87
Growth
67
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.5×
P/B Ratio
2.66×
PEG Ratio
0.16
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$270.90
52W Low
$131.32
Quality & Growth
ROE
8.3%
ROA
5.0%
Gross Margin
15.5%
Operating Margin
11.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.32
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 2.51 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.32; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (6.94); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.4%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+86.7% -> +49.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 82.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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