NASDAQ · STOCK
Owens Corning
$138.89
52W $97.53 – $159.91
55/100
$11.19B
-20.8
1.30
Is OC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Owens Corning (OC) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.61 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.33 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -12.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -12.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 53%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -12.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -12.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.5 to 54.6.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 83% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.162
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$138.78
Resistance
$141.84
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$140.19
Below
EMA 21
$139.91
Below
EMA 50
$134.71
Above
EMA 200
$128.34
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
92
Growth
62
Profitability
0
Financial Health
39
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-20.8×
P/B Ratio
3.06×
PEG Ratio
0.08
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$159.91
52W Low
$97.53
Quality & Growth
ROE
-13.6%
ROA
-4.0%
Gross Margin
27.0%
Operating Margin
7.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -20.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.1x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.1%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of -0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.24 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.65; Free cash flow margin of 0.3% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.99); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 24.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-70.0% -> +10.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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