NASDAQ · STOCK
Packaging Corporation of America
$228.98
52W $189.03 – $249.51
59/100
$20.00B
27.1
0.83
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 67% agreement on a neutral lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.734) — bearish momentum.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 12.1% downside vs 0.9% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 16.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 27.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -14.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.734
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$201.25
Resistance
$230.95
Bollinger %B
0.32
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$231.13
Below
EMA 21
$230.74
Below
EMA 50
$226.17
Above
EMA 200
$217.19
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
56
Growth
43
Profitability
48
Financial Health
91
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.1×
P/B Ratio
4.04×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.67%
52W High
$249.51
52W Low
$189.03
Quality & Growth
ROE
1596.0%
ROA
714.0%
Gross Margin
2048.0%
Operating Margin
1170.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+786.0%
Debt / Equity
0.86
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.1 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.0x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 7.9%; EPS growth (YoY) of -14.0%; Return on equity of 16.0%; Return on assets of 7.1%; Net margin of 8.0%; Gross margin of 20.5%; Current ratio of 3.17 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.86; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.4%; EPS growth accelerating (-15.0% -> +3.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-1.734) — bearish momentum.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 12.1% downside vs 0.9% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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