NASDAQ · STOCK
Ross Stores Inc.
$251.00
52W $134.37 – $255.30
56/100
$80.54B
34.8
0.88
Is ROST Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.62 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.38 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — price structure making higher highs and higher lows — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 38.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 34.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 9.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 81 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 29%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 38.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 34.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 81 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.4 to 56.4.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 66->60 (-6).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
75.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.557
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.85
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$244.75
Above
EMA 21
$236.62
Above
EMA 50
$229.78
Above
EMA 200
$205.19
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
14
Growth
63
Profitability
1
Financial Health
75
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
34.8×
P/B Ratio
12.70×
PEG Ratio
2.57
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$255.30
52W Low
$134.37
Quality & Growth
ROE
34.7%
ROA
13.8%
Gross Margin
28.3%
Operating Margin
12.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 34.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.7x; PEG ratio of 2.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.54 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.75; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.25); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.5%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+26.6% -> +1.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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