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NASDAQ · STOCK

Ross Stores Inc.

ROST Consumer Cyclical Unknown Updated August 01, 2026
$251.00
52W $134.37 – $255.30
58/100
$80.54B
34.8
0.88
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
Conviction: Contested · 57% agreement · 7 analysts
-17.0%
Contested

Is ROST Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) Buy with a composite score of 58/100 , based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement. Last updated August 01, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.14 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.86 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 38.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
  • P/E of 34.8 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • Price-to-book of 9.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • RSI at 76 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 22.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 29%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst neutral
54 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 38.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 34.8 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 76 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 56.4 to 57.9.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
  • Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
75.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.557
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.85
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$244.75 Above
EMA 21
$236.62 Above
EMA 50
$229.78 Above
EMA 200
$205.19 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
14
Growth
63
Profitability
1
Financial Health
75
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio 34.8×
P/B Ratio 12.70×
PEG Ratio 2.57
Dividend Yield 0.01%
52W High $255.30
52W Low $134.37
Quality & Growth
ROE 34.7%
ROA 13.8%
Gross Margin 28.3%
Operating Margin 12.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 34.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.7x; PEG ratio of 2.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.54 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.75; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.25); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.5%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+26.6% -> +1.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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Explore ROST Further

📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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