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Service Corp Intl

SCI Consumer Cyclical Unknown Updated August 01, 2026
$86.23
52W $68.41 – $90.99
54/100
$11.91B
19.1
0.84
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
Conviction: Contested · 43% agreement · 7 analysts
+0.4%
-10.5%
0.03:1
Contested

Is SCI Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Service Corp Intl (SCI) Watch with a composite score of 54/100 , based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement. Last updated August 01, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.23 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.77 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 33.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 6.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 3.15 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • RSI at 80 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
  • Current ratio of 0.55 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 16.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 33.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst neutral
54 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 80 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst bearish
33 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 51.9 to 53.8.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
  • Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
80.3
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.759
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$77.21
Resistance
$86.54
Bollinger %B
0.98
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$83.23 Above
EMA 21
$80.59 Above
EMA 50
$78.70 Above
EMA 200
$79.03 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
63
Growth
51
Profitability
1
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio 19.1×
P/B Ratio 7.75×
PEG Ratio 0.89
Dividend Yield 0.02%
52W High $90.99
52W Low $68.41
Quality & Growth
ROE 33.1%
ROA 2.9%
Gross Margin 26.0%
Operating Margin 22.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 3.45
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.8x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 0.53 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.45; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.11); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-14.9% -> -7.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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Explore SCI Further

📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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