NASDAQ · STOCK
TPR
$142.15
52W $92.62 – $161.97
54/100
—
43.0
1.44
Explore TPR Further
Is TPR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates TPR (TPR) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.53 across 31 articles, 14d). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 43.1 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.350) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Evening Star.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ ROE of 106.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 43.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -17.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.79) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.53 across 31 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.3 to 54.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.350
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$136.78
Resistance
$156.38
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$141.23
Above
EMA 21
$142.30
Below
EMA 50
$142.59
Below
EMA 200
$134.04
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
69
Profitability
0
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
43.0×
P/B Ratio
41.88×
PEG Ratio
-2.74
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$161.97
52W Low
$92.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
21.4%
ROA
2.8%
Gross Margin
76.2%
Operating Margin
11.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
5.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 43.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 41.9x; PEG ratio of -2.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.8%; Current ratio of 1.84 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 5.75; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.67); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 26.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+94.9% -> -38.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.350) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Evening Star.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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