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ABNB Consumer Cyclical Unknown Updated July 11, 2026
$148.60
52W $110.81 – $150.19
66/100
$83196.36T
36.1
1.14
Price History (6M)
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
Conviction: Moderate · 71% agreement · 7 analysts
+0.9%
-5.2%
0.17:1
75%
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 80% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
  • Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
  • Daily trend: uptrend.
  • Daily uptrend conflicts with weekly downtrend — buying against the higher timeframe trend is higher risk.
  • Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
  • Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
  • Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
  • Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.2% downside vs 0.9% upside.
  • Fundamental score is weak (31.3/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Growth Analyst neutral
52 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 39 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bullish
75 / 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
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Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.263
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$140.88
Resistance
$149.90
Bollinger %B
0.78
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$146.19 Above
EMA 21
$143.25 Above
EMA 50
$139.46 Above
EMA 200
$133.41 Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
5
Growth
36
Profitability
1
Financial Health
77
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio 36.1×
P/B Ratio 11.64×
PEG Ratio 18.22
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $150.19
52W Low $110.81
Quality & Growth
ROE 30.6%
ROA 11.3%
Gross Margin 82.9%
Operating Margin 20.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.33
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 36.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.6x; PEG ratio of 18.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.8%; Current ratio of 1.44 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.33; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (7.61); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 11.9%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-74.7% -> -53.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
  • Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
  • Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
  • Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.2% downside vs 0.9% upside.
  • Fundamental score is weak (31.3/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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