NASDAQ · STOCK
AES Corporation
$14.77
52W $12.33 – $17.65
61/100
$10210.08T
7.9
0.94
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a bullish lean. News Analyst: News sentiment is positive (+0.60 across 5 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst: Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Daily uptrend conflicts with weekly downtrend — buying against the higher timeframe trend is higher risk.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 70.9 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (88.3) confirms overbought conditions.
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
- Fundamental score is weak (32.3/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 12, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 7.36 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 71 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 7.36) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.60 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
70.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.006
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$14.70
Resistance
$15.50
Bollinger %B
1.09
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$14.67
Above
EMA 21
$14.65
Above
EMA 50
$14.61
Above
EMA 200
$14.31
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
58
Profitability
0
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
8
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.9×
P/B Ratio
2.39×
PEG Ratio
-1.72
Dividend Yield
0.05%
52W High
$17.65
52W Low
$12.33
Quality & Growth
ROE
13.8%
ROA
1.8%
Gross Margin
19.3%
Operating Margin
16.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
7.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of -1.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 0.73 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 7.01; Free cash flow margin of -0.3% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-2.07); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 80.3%; EPS growth decelerating (+47.1% -> -10.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 148.2%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 70.9 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (88.3) confirms overbought conditions.
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
- Fundamental score is weak (32.3/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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