NASDAQ · STOCK
Aptiv
$56.48
52W $51.68 – $88.93
51/100
$11.95B
33.6
1.34
Is APTV Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Aptiv (APTV) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.43 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.37 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 33.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- ROE of only 3.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -72.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 61%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 33.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -72.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.7 to 51.4.
- Conviction changed from moderate to unanimous.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 67% to 100%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.099
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$56.31
Resistance
$68.11
Bollinger %B
0.12
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$57.71
Below
EMA 21
$58.63
Below
EMA 50
$60.42
Below
EMA 200
$66.92
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
75
Growth
63
Profitability
0
Financial Health
87
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.6×
P/B Ratio
1.31×
PEG Ratio
-0.47
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$88.93
52W Low
$51.68
Quality & Growth
ROE
1.8%
ROA
0.7%
Gross Margin
19.1%
Operating Margin
5.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 2.11 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.01; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.10); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.9%; EPS growth accelerating (-14.3% -> -8.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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